Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 3.966036 4.260881 4.576205 4.940098 5.350454 5.801243 6.337160
2025-05-11 3.467457 3.875747 4.340630 4.915462 5.616236 6.455182 7.555245
2025-05-18 3.146766 3.609340 4.158435 4.870613 5.789147 6.963034 8.628846
2025-05-25 2.873202 3.355849 3.946001 4.738637 5.805371 7.240318 9.413284
2025-06-01 2.673948 3.169659 3.790770 4.649889 5.849379 7.538274 10.254801
2025-06-08 2.547844 3.062160 3.721580 4.659819 6.017946 8.020612 11.453090
2025-06-15 2.461915 2.997741 3.699978 4.726920 6.267745 8.649792 13.018910
2025-06-22 2.309426 2.834340 3.531524 4.568504 6.159923 8.696351 13.564429
2025-06-29 2.190888 2.709273 3.406707 4.461326 6.116334 8.836371 14.308217
2025-07-06 2.090945 2.603762 3.301974 4.374202 6.092824 9.002489 15.136362
2025-07-13 2.022541 2.537822 3.248627 4.359058 6.181795 9.374650 16.489640
2025-07-20 1.986447 2.514583 3.254297 4.433454 6.424977 10.062257 18.762322
2025-07-27 1.947393 2.488158 3.257900 4.511874 6.696997 10.880182 21.760269
2025-08-03 1.885549 2.426554 3.206406 4.498829 6.808233 11.404418 24.258854
2025-08-10 1.822355 2.359786 3.142961 4.460455 6.867584 11.829761 26.695128
2025-08-17 1.745293 2.269258 3.038339 4.345132 6.768883 11.887867 27.995163
2025-08-24 1.682629 2.197469 2.959090 4.267413 6.734546 12.088436 29.920385
2025-08-31 1.644222 2.160109 2.931381 4.276116 6.870480 12.719329 33.896474
2025-09-07 1.619403 2.141912 2.932553 4.334883 7.113662 13.671962 40.085242
2025-09-14 1.553704 2.059246 2.827039 4.196046 6.931465 13.481925 40.811516
2025-09-21 1.501060 1.994898 2.748589 4.101927 6.836351 13.514497 42.777789
2025-09-28 1.454989 1.939154 2.681856 4.025305 6.771843 13.621924 45.307055
2025-10-05 1.424250 1.906026 2.650573 4.011977 6.844081 14.134340 50.847618